Stock Idea; Chennai Petroleum Corporation Limited (CPCL)
CMP: 352.35 INR (As on 22nd Feb, 2017) Target price : INR 510*
Chennai Petroleum.
Chennai Petroleum is one of the best
stocks in refineries sector trading at a very low PE. This is a buy for a
number of other reasons. Chennai Petroleum is a company that is into crude oil
refining.
About the company
Chennai
Petroleum Corporation Limited (CPCL) is an Indian state-owned oil and gas
corporation headquartered in Chennai, India. Formed as a joint venture between
Government of India, AMOCO and National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC), it was formerly
known as Madras Refineries Limited (MRL). Chennai Petroleum is a public sector
undertaking (PSU) and categorized as Miniratna-I.
Product portfolio;
The main products of the Chennai
Petroleum are;
- LPG,
- High Speed Diesel,
- Motor Spirit,
- Bitumen,
- Lube Base Stocks,
- Superior Kerosene,
- Aviation Turbine Fuel,
- Naphtha,
- Paraffin Wax,
- Hexane,
- Petrochemical Feed Stocks and
- Fuel Oil.
Fundamentals;
Mar'17
(In Rs Cr)
(In Rs Cr)
Total Share Capital
|
1,149.00
|
Net Worth
|
4,441.10
|
Total Debt
|
4,497.72
|
Net Block
|
3,882.83
|
Investments
|
140.00
|
Total Assets
|
8,938.81
|
Valuation;
MARKET CAP (RS CR): 5,427.08
EPS (TTM): 60.81
P/E : 5.99
INDUSTRY P/E: 9.56
BOOK VALUE (RS): 222.53
PRICE/BOOK: 1.64
DIV (%): 210.00%
DIV YIELD.(%): 5.76%
FACE VALUE (RS): 10.00
Why
Chennai Petroleum is a multibagger stock?
Chennai Petroleum is a multibagger stock which has risen
from Rs. 51.75 in October, 2013 to Rs. 480 in October, 2017 i.e. it delivered
more than 800% profit in just 4 years. Chennai Petroleum witnessed a fantastic
years even in 2017-18 and the same trend is expected to continue.
The company has already reported an EPS of Rs 50 in the last
three quarters of FY 2017-18. An another
Rs 15 to 18 EPS is expected in the fourth quarter, if it is then the twelve
month trailing (TTM) EPS will come
around Rs 65 to 68. Hence at a current price of Rs 353 the stock of Chennai
Petroleum is trading around P/E multiple of 5 only and at this price valuation
is mouth watering.
Chennai Petroleum is one of the best stocks in refineries
sector trading at a very low PE. This is a buy for a number of other reasons.
Chennai Petroleum is a company that is into crude oil refining. As long as
crude oil prices remain subdued there is a complete scope for the stock price
to rally. The company has also known for excellent dividend yield track record
it recently declared a stupendous dividend of Rs 21 per share accounting for a tax
free dividend yield of Rs. 5.75 % at current share price of Rs 353.
Technical;
On yearly chart the
stock of Chennai petroleum is trading at Rs. 353 (as of 21th feb, 2018), it has
support at Rs. 339 which is it’s 52 week low price too. On the top line it has
made high of Rs. 480. Hence as a rule of thumb it is a buy at current price
with a target of 475-480 (35% upside) with a
stop loss of Rs. 335-340. Risk reward ratio is highly favorable in this stock.
Threats;
Chennai Petroleum is a company that is in crude oil refining business and therefore heavily depended on crude prices.
Other
factors related to Chennai Petroleum
Mutual
Funds Holding (As of 20th Feb, 2018)
SCHEME
|
NO.
OF SHARES
|
Aditya Birla Sun Life Bal. 95 Fund (G)
|
1,963,018
|
Aditya Birla Sun Life Pure Value Fund (G)
|
1,389,428
|
Aditya Birla Sun Life Small and Midcap Fund
|
681,710
|
Aditya Birla Sun Life Frontline Equity Fund
|
313,295
|
*Broker’s View;
KR Choksey in it's research report said that they expect Chennai Petroleum to fetch an EPS of INR 68.48
for FY18E, INR 107.05 for FY19E and INR 124.95 for FY20E. While at CMP of INR 426,
the stock is trading at 3.98x of its FY19E earnings and at 3.41x of its FY20E
earnings. We recommend a BUY rating with a target price of INR 510. find detail report on chennai petro here here>>>
I bought CPCL at 90 in june, 2015 and the stock within that month delivered 40% return so I sold my entire holding in Chennai petro at around 125. But later I realized I should not have sold this gem. Now it has become a fashionable Multibagger stock... After reading your article I m going to buy it again and will not sell until I need money. Excellent post sir. Keep posting.
ReplyDeleteP.S: I m big fan of ur blog....,����
It was very useful for me. Keep sharing such ideas in the future as well. This was actually what I was looking for, and I am glad to came here! Thanks for sharing the such information with us.
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